Housing prices in MMR continue to rise, at 4% year-on-year

Average housing prices across the top eight markets in India rose 11% YoY at INR 11,000 per sq ft during Q3 2024, led by sturdy demand and positive market sentiments. Interestingly, average housing prices have increased for the 15th consecutive quarter since 2021.

All the eight major cities saw an annual increase in housing prices with Delhi NCR witnessing the highest rise at 32% YoY, followed by Bengaluru at 24% YoY rise during the quarter. Meanwhile, MMR continues to remain at the top of the list of Indian cities residential price trends.

After registering record high sales over the last two years, the demand momentum across the top cities is stabilising. Nevertheless, with anticipation of healthy residential activity in the last quarter, 2024 is likely to end on a strong note.  

Overall unsold inventory continued to witness a quarterly drop for the third consecutive quarter, led by healthy uptake in housing units. At the end of September 2024, unsold inventory stood at over 10 lakh housing units across the eight major cities, with MMR accounting for a majority at about 40% share. Notably, unsold units in Hyderabad saw a modest dip on a sequential basis despite a yearly increase of about 28%.

Boman Irani, President of CREDAI National stated, “The ongoing rise in housing prices is another validation of positive homebuyer sentiments and the highly conducive nature of the real estate market. We are seeing more and more aspirational homebuyers come to the fore – resulting in bigger homes that are also being reflected in the rise in prices as homes continue to get more expansive, truly reflecting the current market dynamics and consumer preferences. We expect this robust momentum to continue going into the new year and are hopeful of rate cuts in the impending future.”

"While the housing market is gradually stabilizing, the outlook for the residential segment remains positive supported by strong underlying market fundamentals. Developers are recalibrating their strategies, particularly in the price-sensitive segments, by offering compact size units. Although average housing prices have continued to increase steadily, witnessing a 11% YoY growth during Q3 2024, the likely easing of monetary policy and anticipated repo rate cuts can potentially bring financial relief to homebuyers in the near term. Moreover, flexible payment plans and freebies to attract homebuyers will continue to aid in residential sales momentum,” added Badal Yagnik, Chief Executive Officer, Colliers, India.

Pan India residential price trends (in INR/sq ft)

Source: Liases Foras, Colliers

All the prices are based on carpet area

“Sales and prices continue to grow, suggesting affordability and demand are intact. The luxury segment is still dominant, although we have been seeing a gradual reduction in new launches. While MMR, Pune, and Hyderabad are reaching a plateau in sales and supply, NCR, Chennai, and Tier 2 cities have a deficient supply level; they may see a surge in new launches”, said Pankaj Kapoor, Managing Director, Liases Foras.

Unsold inventory levels continued to drop for the third consecutive quarter

Although unsold inventory levels remained high, it continued to witness a quarterly drop for the third consecutive quarter. At 13%, Pune saw the highest decline in unsold inventory levels annually. Interestingly, it was the fifth consecutive of drop in inventory levels for the city. Annual decline in unsold inventory levels have been significant in Chennai and Kolkata too with 7-9% drop. Interestingly, 7 out of 8 cities saw a dip in unsold inventory levels, on a quarterly basis.

“With existing high unsold inventory levels to the tune of 10 lakh units across the eight major cities, developers are being cautious with new launches. They are realigning their strategies by assessing and identifying the appropriate target audience in high demand pockets. Although new launches have moderated in the affordable housing segment, developers have stepped up their offerings in luxury and ultra-luxury segments,” said Vimal Nadar, Senior Director and Head of Research, Colliers India.