According to reports, the Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru, one of the country’s premier scientific institutes, praised Maharashtra’s handling of the second wave as the state recorded its lowest single-day COVID-19 tally — 37,236— in 41 days as of Monday, May 10.
The state’s exceptional measures saved around 19,000 lives in the second wave. The model shows that the state escaped an additional burden of 3.8 million cases too, Dr Sashikumaar Ganesan, who handles the institute’s Covid dashboard told TOI.
Ganesan’s team released its latest data on Monday, comparing the actual data from states with a national trend that their mathematical model devised. The impact of 15 days of lockdown in Maharashtra has not only saved 19,000 lives but also averted 3.8 million cases, according to the IISc model. The IISc team has recommended lockdown-like restrictions in these states to save thousands of lives by May-end.
As per the model, while the national trend curve had predicted a death toll of 95,300 deaths in Maharashtra on May 9, the actual toll stood at 75,850. While the national trend anticipated Maharashtra’s caseload to climb to 8.9 million on May 9, the actual caseload is 5.1 million.
In April, the Maharashtra government imposed 24x7 prohibitory orders, banned dining-in at restaurants, and closed temples, beaches and malls when the second wave’s ferocity became apparent; over half a lakh cases have been detected on most days since April 9.
Meanwhile, as per the data by BMC, on Monday, May 10, Mumbai registered only 1,782 cases, the lowest daily tally in 76 days. Deaths in both Maharashtra and Mumbai continued to be high at 549 and 74, respectively.
On April 4, 11,206 cases were detected in Mumbai, three times the highest single-day tally during the first wave of the pandemic.
However, a BMC hospital doctor attributed the sharp drop in caseload in both Maharashtra and Mumbai on Monday to the weekend effect with fewer tests. In Mumbai, only 23,061 tests were carried out on Sunday as against the average of 35,000 over the weekdays. In Maharashtra, too, only 1.9 lakh tests were carried out against 2.5 lakh on an average daily.
The state reported a drop in fatalities too, fewer than 600 deaths for the second consecutive day. With the addition of 549 deaths, the total toll of the state rose to 76,398 with 51.3 lakh cases. With the dip in daily detections, the daily case fatality rate rose to 1.4 per cent.
Share
Tweet
